Licensed & lending in FLORIDA

Florida's a rare buying window — mind the fine print.

Florida flipped to a buyer's market in 2026: falling prices and rising inventory make this a genuine window to buy. The catch is that insurance costs, condo special assessments, and Save-Our-Homes tax quirks can blow up a payment if a broker doesn't model them upfront. Our angle is simple — we underwrite the whole Florida payment (principal, interest, taxes, windstorm, flood, and HOA/assessment risk), not just the rate.

The market, honestly

Florida in 2026 — a negotiating year for buyers

Florida has flipped decisively to a buyer's market after years of seller dominance. The statewide median is about $394,000, down slightly year over year, with roughly 5.2 months of single-family supply and a striking 9.7–12.9 months for condos — the condo oversupply is the standout story, driven by milestone-inspection reform and the special-assessment fear it created. Buyers are negotiating seller concessions, rate buydowns, and repair credits rather than bidding over ask. Leverage exists — but insurance and condo-assessment risk are the underwriting-relevant landmines.

~$394K
statewide median (Q1 2026), down year over year
~$3,815/yr
avg FL home insurance — roughly 3x national
8.8%
Citizens 2026 multiperil rate cut — first relief since 2015

Where we spend the most time

Florida, market by market.

Florida is several very different buyer stories. Here's where we focus, and the local detail we make sure every buyer hears.

Tampa Bay

The highest raw transaction volume of the metros we track per recent Redfin data, with the tightest single-family inventory in the state (near seller-market conditions despite statewide softening) and strong military and relocation demand.

Median price
~$385,000
Who's buying
Military and VA buyers at MacDill AFB (CENTCOM/SOCOM, heavy PCS turnover), first-timers priced out of Miami, remote-work relocators from the Northeast and Midwest, and investors.
The local thing to knowFlood-zone exposure varies enormously by neighborhood — South Tampa, Davis Islands, and Harbour Island are flood-prone and pricey to insure, while inland New Tampa and Wesley Chapel are cheaper. Hillsborough vs. Pinellas vs. Pasco county tax and insurance differences genuinely change a payment comparison, so we model your specific address.

Miami-Dade

The highest median price means the largest loan sizes and the biggest jumbo and self-employed opportunity — and per recent Miami Realtors data sales are growing year over year even as prices soften. It's also the epicenter of the condo-assessment and insurance story that separates a sophisticated broker from a rate-quoter.

Median price
~$582,000, down slightly year over year
Who's buying
International and cash-adjacent buyers needing bank-statement or foreign-national programs, self-employed and complex-income professionals, condo buyers navigating post-Surfside reform, and first-timers priced into Homestead and Doral.
The local thing to knowCondo milestone-inspection / SIRS reform is the single biggest underwriting risk here — special assessments of $134K–$400K per unit are showing up, and FHA/VA financing is pulling back from non-compliant buildings. We ask for a building's milestone/SIRS status before you lock a condo loan. Flood and windstorm dominate the payment on the coast.

Jacksonville

The most affordable major Florida metro (a median well under half of Miami's), with fast-improving buyer leverage and a strong Navy anchor — a natural fit for first-timers and military, and directly cited in Hometown Heroes income examples.

Median price
~$282,000, down year over year
Who's buying
Military and VA buyers at NAS Jacksonville and NS Mayport — one of the largest Navy hubs on the East Coast — plus first-timers and young families relocating from South Florida for affordability.
The local thing to knowThe Jacksonville-metro Hometown Heroes household-income cap (~$153,750) is high enough that most dual-income first responders, teachers, nurses, and military households qualify. St. Johns County (Nocatee, St. Augustine) carries a price premium over the Duval core, and NAS Jax/Mayport VA volume is durable and PCS-driven.

Orlando

The #1 most-searched relocation destination among out-of-state buyers in early 2026 per Redfin/Realtor.com migration data — a large incoming first-timer and relocator pipeline, anchored by theme-park/hospitality and the Lake Nona medical and tech corridor, with the Villages retiree feeder just northwest.

Median price
Metro figures were thin in this research pass — we quote a live number per address
Who's buying
Out-of-state relocators (the largest searched-destination segment), first-timers, hospitality and theme-park workers, Lake Nona medical and tech employees, and near-retirees eyeing Central Florida's 55+ corridor.
The local thing to knowHospitality income — tips and seasonal or variable pay — is a common complex-income underwriting case we speak to directly. Lake Nona is a strong anchor-employer story, and the nearby Villages retiree pipeline is a distinct, cash-heavy, downsizing persona.

Down-payment & assistance

Programs worth checking your fit for.

Florida's assistance programs are generous, and several are military- or essential-worker-friendly. Some open on specific dates and can exhaust, so we confirm a program is live and funded — and confirm your fit — before we count on it. Never a promise of eligibility.

Florida Housing Finance Corporation

Florida Hometown Heroes

Up to 5% of the loan amount (capped at $35,000) in down-payment/closing-cost help as a 0%-interest deferred second, for a broad list of essential-service workers — not just first responders, and generally no first-time requirement. Income cap around 150% of area median; caps run county-by-county. Rounds open on specific dates with fixed funding, so timing matters.

Florida Housing Finance Corporation

Salute Our Soldiers Military Loan Program

Up to $35,000 in down-payment/closing-cost assistance as a 0%-interest deferred second for active military and veterans, with a PLUS variant that forgives 3–5% over five years. Available in all 67 Florida counties, with income limits generally more generous given the military targeting.

Florida Housing Finance Corporation

Florida Assist (FL Assist)

$7,500 as a 0%-interest deferred second with no monthly payment for 30 years, due on sale/refi/payoff — a standard pairing with an eligible Florida Housing first mortgage.

Every program above is subject to qualification and current availability — limits, funding, and windows change constantly. We never promise eligibility; we check your fit against what's actually open the week you apply.

True-payment math

The math nobody warns you about

In Florida, insurance — not property tax — is the dominant monthly-payment variable, and for condos there's a second landmine that didn't exist the same way before 2024.

Insurance: the average Florida premium is around $3,815/yr, roughly three times the national average — even though 2026 brings the first real relief since 2015 (Citizens is cutting multiperil rates ~8.8%, and private carriers are following after litigation reform). Rates are falling but still historically high, so we get a real insurance quote into your plan before locking a rate, not after. Flood is a separate line item in coastal and flood-zone areas that inland buyers can often skip.

Condos & taxes: 2026 milestone-inspection / SIRS reforms are triggering surprise special assessments of $134K–$400K per unit, and lenders are pulling back from non-compliant buildings — so we treat milestone/SIRS status as a mandatory pre-approval checklist item for any condo. On property tax, Florida has no state income tax, but buying an existing home resets its assessed value to full market value in year one (you don't inherit the seller's Save-Our-Homes cap), so your first-year tax is often higher than the seller was paying. We call it out explicitly.

Straight answers

Florida questions we get a lot.

Everyone warns me about Florida insurance. Is it really that bad?

It's high — around three times the national average — but 2026 is the first year of real relief, with Citizens and private carriers cutting rates after reform. The key is getting an actual quote for your specific address and flood zone before you lock a rate. We build it into the plan so the payment you see is the payment you get.

I'm buying a condo. What do I need to watch for?

Milestone-inspection and SIRS reform is the big one — some buildings are hitting special assessments of $134K to $400K per unit, and FHA/VA financing is pulling back from non-compliant buildings. We ask for a building's inspection and reserve status before you lock, so a great-looking unit doesn't become a five-figure surprise.

Why would my property tax be higher than what the seller pays?

Florida's Save-Our-Homes cap keeps a resident's taxable value growing slowly, but when you buy an existing home it resets to full market value in year one — you don't inherit the seller's built-up discount. It's a frequently-missed payment-shock item, and we flag it up front.

I'm military at MacDill, Mayport, or NAS Jax. What's my best path?

VA $0-down is usually your strongest lever, and Florida stacks military-specific help through Salute Our Soldiers. We'll run your BAH-to-payment math, confirm the right flood coverage for your neighborhood, and time the close to your PCS.

Three doors, pick any

Ready to run your real Florida number?

Two minutes of questions, zero commitment, no credit pull — or skip straight to the application, or just text us like a person. Tell us the address, and we'll underwrite the whole Florida payment — windstorm, flood, and assessment risk included.

Licensed in Florida under C2 Financial Corp NMLS 135622.